Narrative: Trump's Tech Collision Course

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    Narrative: Trump’s Tech Collision Course (Jan 28, 2017)

    Written: January 28, 2017

    Timeline:

    It was apparent throughout the 2016 US presidential campaign that Silicon Valley and the broader set of technology companies in the US was at odds with then-candidate Donald Trump on a number of major issues, from immigration to tariffs to US manufacturing and others. Donations to campaigns from employees of the major US tech companies heavily favored Hillary Clinton, and Google in particular had very close relationships with the Obama administration. On top of all that, Donald Trump made a number of pointed remarks about individual tech companies during the election, including Amazon and Apple. In short, the tech industry has appeared to be on a collision course with President Trump.

    Since his election, the tech industry has largely trodden very carefully. The President-Elect held a roundtable with leaders of the big companies during the transition period after the election, and remarks from those who attended were very guarded. We’ve seen companies like Amazon issue press releases promising lots more jobs in the US over the coming years as an apparent sop to the administration, even though it’s fairly clear no new jobs are contemplated beyond those that were already planned. For companies like Twitter, Trumps’s presidency has been particularly conflicting, because the platform was a huge enabler of his campaign but most of its employees oppose his policies, and yet both Twitter and other major companies have been very quiet about the Trump administration and its policies, apparently out of fear of a backlash.

    That is, they have been quiet  until the last couple of days. The Executive Orders on immigration signed on January 27, 2017 have sparked the first real backlash from the tech industry against President Trump and his policies, and we’re starting to see the first real signs of outspokenness from an uncharacteristically quiet Silicon Valley. Two Facebook executives were the first to speak out on Friday, but a chorus of opposing voices began on Saturday, with most major tech companies having issued some kind of statement on the immigration orders by the evening (at the time of writing, Amazon is a major holdout).

    It’s worth noting that not all statements from the tech industry have come with equal force – some have mostly focused on the practical implications for employees of each company, while others have gone further and made moral statements about the orders in broader terms. But there is now something of a united front among the tech industry, which may make it harder for the administration to react in a way that harms individual companies – indeed, it appears that some companies held back while seeing how others would react and only broke their own cover once it was clear they would not be alone.

    ★ Amazon Announces Search for Second HQ Location, Invites Cities to Make Pitches (Sep 7, 2017)

    Amazon today announced that it’s initiating a formal search for a second North American headquarters city in addition to its current HQ in Seattle, and invited cities to make pitches to win its business with a formal RFP process. The approach here is reminiscent of Google Fiber’s strategy of inviting cities to pitch to host its early networks, a process that resulted in tax breaks and other concessions intended to lure Google to municipalities, and Amazon is clearly aiming for very much the same approach here, hoping to get big tax breaks and other incentives. The driver here is twofold. Firstly, this is a PR move intended to get lots of positive attention from cities around the US both during the process and once it’s completed and it starts creating jobs and other economic activity in an area.

    Secondly, it’s a practical issue: Amazon has grown to over 40,000 employees in Seattle, a big coastal city with a high cost of living and doing business, and with another massive tech company – Microsoft – nearby and competing for potential employees. It’s also been criticized recently for being too dominant a force in Seattle. In addition to hiring tens of thousands of warehouse workers around the world each year, Amazon is beefing up its AWS and advertising sales forces, and there’s no particular reason why they need to sit in expensive Seattle office space. As such, hunting around for a lower-cost base with substantial financial incentives from the local government makes a ton of sense for practical as well as PR reasons. We’re going to see cities falling over themselves to win this business, which Amazon says will eventually provide 50,000 direct jobs and $5 billion in construction investment.

    The challenge of running two headquarters will be a fairly unique one for a big tech company – others certainly have satellite offices, and big mergers sometimes result in dual headquarters arrangements, but this would be the first time that I’m aware of that a big tech company would deliberately choose to divide its HQ function between two locations in different stats. That’s going to create some unique challenges for managing the business, though Amazon’s highly balkanized management structure likely makes it a little easier. As with the recent acquisition of Whole Foods, this big process is going to be completed remarkably quickly: responses to the RFP are due by October 19th, and the announcement will be made next year, though the RFP talks about three distinct phases, with 500k square feet of office space required by 2019 and up to 8 million required “beyond 2027”, and mentions the “initial 15-17 years of the project”.

    Update: two other things worth mentioning which have popped up since I published this: Amazon is also opening an R&D hub focused on machine learning in Barcelona, Spain; and Recode reports that there’s already political opposition to Amazon’s approach of seeking tax breaks for its new HQ.

    via Amazon

    Amazon and Microsoft Join Lawsuit to Block End of DACA Immigration Rules (Sep 6, 2017)

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    Tech Industry Plans to Oppose Trump on Changes to “Dreamer” Immigration Rules (Aug 31, 2017)

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    Apple Announces $1.4bn Iowa Data Center Project (Aug 24, 2017)

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    Foxconn Announces Plans to Build $10bn LCD Factory in Wisconsin (Jul 26, 2017)

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    Donald Trump Says Apple Has Committed to Building Three Plants in the US (Jul 25, 2017)

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    Congress Invites Tech and Carrier CEOs to Testify on Net Neutrality Legislation (Jul 25, 2017)

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    President Trump Expected to Nominate FCC General Counsel as Final Commissioner (Jun 28, 2017)

    A little while ago, I covered the news that Jessica Rosenworcel had been nominated to fill the vacant Democratic slot at the FCC, and posited that a Republican nomination must be coming soon so as to preserve the Republican advantage on the Commission. It now seems as though Brendan Carr, currently acting as general counsel at the FCC and a key ally to Chairman Ajit Pai, will take that last slot. Given the controversy around net neutrality, that majority is critical to making the changes Pai has proposed, and on the basis that both these nominees are likely to be pushed through together, things should work out fine for the Trump administration. As I said while commenting on the Rosenworcel nomination, telecoms policy is one of the few areas where the Trump administration has been able to move quickly without either Congressional or legal barriers, so it will be keen to keep the agenda moving forward quickly. Update: the nomination was confirmed later in the day.

    via Recode

    President Trump Re-Nominates Jessica Rosenworcel as FCC Commissioner (Jun 14, 2017)

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